AI Prediction Markets
Trade on artificial intelligence milestones: AGI timelines, model releases, regulation, and industry benchmarks. Prediction markets for the AI era.
AI Prediction Markets
Artificial intelligence is advancing faster than any technology in history. Prediction markets let you trade on AI milestones, model releases, regulation, and societal impact.
Popular AI Market Categories
Model Releases
- “Will GPT-5 be released before July 2026?”
- “Will Google release Gemini 3 this year?”
- “Will an open-source model match GPT-4 on benchmarks?”
AGI Timelines
- “Will AGI be achieved by 2030?” (requires agreed-upon definition)
- “Will an AI pass the Turing test by 2027?”
Regulation
- “Will the EU AI Act enforcement begin on schedule?”
- “Will the US pass comprehensive AI regulation in 2026?”
Industry Impact
- “Will AI replace more than 10% of Fortune 500 customer service jobs by 2027?”
- “Will AI-generated content exceed 50% of internet text by 2028?”
Benchmarks and Capabilities
- “Will an AI score above 90% on [specific benchmark]?”
- “Will AI beat the best human at [specific task]?”
Why AI Markets Are Uniquely Valuable
AI timelines are notoriously hard to predict. Experts disagree wildly. Prediction markets cut through the noise by forcing participants to back their beliefs with money, producing probability estimates that are more honest than any survey or op-ed.
AI Markets on Purrdict
Purrdict will offer AI prediction markets covering model releases, capability milestones, and regulation — all with instant on-chain settlement via Hyperliquid.